WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

WINTER AND SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK FOR NORTHERN...
CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST MAINE...

THIS IS THE EIGHTH WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK FOR
2014...ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU, MAINE.
THE WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IS FOR NORTHERN, CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST MAINE FOR THE TWO WEEK PERIOD FROM APRIL 3 TO APRIL 17,
2014.

THE WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR ALL OF NORTHERN, CENTRAL,
AND DOWNEAST MAINE IS ABOVE NORMAL. THIS INCLUDES THE POTENTIAL
FOR FLOODING DUE TO ICE JAMS.

...CLIMATOLOGICAL GUIDANCE...

WHILE THE LATTER HALF OF MARCH DID SEE A FEW BRIEF WARM UPS, THE
OVERALL TREND OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS HAS CONTINUED TO BE
COLDER THAN NORMAL. MANY LOCATIONS FINISHED MARCH WITH AVERAGE
MONTHLY TEMPERATURES SOME 6 TO 10 DEGREES COLDER THAN NORMAL. THE
ACTIVE WEATHER TREND HAS ALSO CONTINUED. A VERY STRONG DEVELOPING
LOW PRESSURE BROUGHT HEAVY SNOW TO MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA,
ESPECIALLY PORTIONS OF DOWNEAST, AT THE END OF LAST MONTH. THIS NOT
ONLY ADDED TO THE SNOWPACK, IT ALSO ADDED LIQUID TO THE ALREADY
WATER-LADEN SNOW.

THIS ACTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO MID APRIL WITH SEVERAL
SYSTEMS TO AFFECT THE AREA. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A
SLUG OF PRECIPITATION TO THE PINE TREE STATE THIS WEEKEND,
STARTING OUT AS A WINTRY MIX BUT CHANGING TO RAIN OVER ALL BUT
THE FAR NORTHWEST. STORM TOTAL QPF FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ONE-
HALF TO THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH. A STRONGER LOW WILL THEN MOVE
ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN MAINE EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MODELS HAVE
BEEN TRENDING WARMER WITH THIS SYSTEM, SO MUCH OF ITS PRECIPITATION
WILL FALL AS RAIN. THESE SYSTEMS WILL ONLY SERVE TO ADD EVEN MORE
WATER TO THE SNOWPACK. IN ADDITION, ALTHOUGH COLDER THAN NORMAL
CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO LINGER OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS,
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR SNOWMELT.
THE OFFICIAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 6 TO 10 DAY FORECAST
CONTINUES TO CALL FOR COLDER THAN NORMAL AND WETTER THAN NORMAL
CONDITIONS.

Read more:https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201404032131-KCAR-FGUS71-ESFCAR