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Tuesday, February 11, 2014

Rufe's Extended Outlook Weather Update‏

Extended Outlook

Today:  am light snow south. Breezy pm. highs 16-28 N/S.

Tuesday; dry, breezy pm. lows 0-14 N/S. highs 10-24 N/S.

Wednesday; quiet and dry. lows 10below-5 N/S. highs 22-29  N/S.

Thursday; snow late. Windy at night. Lows 8-19 N/S. highs 28-38 N/S.

Friday;  morning snow and wind, dry pm. Lows 15-26 N/S. highs 27-37 N/S.

Saturday; flurries north. Breezy. Lows 15-23 N/S. highs 22-36 N/S.=
 
Sunday; quiet. Snow south? Lows 3-16 N/S. highs 17-29 N/S.
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Weather Update 

 The “perfect storm” late Thursday and into the night??
 
 This refers to the alignment of all parameters to generate a robust northeaster throughout the service area without ice or sleet. It appears that odds are strong favoring this scenario. There is less than a 20% risk of any mixing within 15-20 miles of the coast.  
 
 
  
 
Snow will overspread southernmost Maine mid morning Thursday, press north rapidly and become heavy very quickly. At rates in excess of 1”/hr the heaviest snow will fall around dusk. Lighter snow will fall overnight, ending by 5AM Friday. The snow will be dense along the coastal plain, classically drier north and northwest. Expect 6”-12”, most near the coast.

 The signature for an inversion is strong. Only within 5 miles of the coast does it appear possible for north/northeast gusts of 30-40 mph during the early nighttime hours.

 
 
 

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